By Mike Smith
8th of April 2016
What never ceases to amaze me is that many people just take the shafting dished out by the corrupt and useless ANC scum. They shrug their shoulders and carry on. Fair enough there are some people working hard to get the regime out, but the majority is just status quo sheep.
During the Anglo Boer War (1899-1902) there were a lot of these fence sitters. Status quo wishers and maintainers. They did not want to get involved in any fighting on any side so they signed a treaty of neutrality with the British authorities. They were called “Hensoppers”.
Some went further and actively joined the British and signed an oath of legion to the Queen and turned against their own Boer people. These were called “Joiners”. Joiners were normally killed on the spot by the Boers. No mercy.
After the war there was a lot of bitterness amongst the Boers. Families of Hensoppers and Joiners were shunned, ostracized and spat on. It carried on for decades.
Nevertheless, today we still have “Hensoppers”, who would rather see the status quo being maintained. In other words, leave the ANC in power to carry on stealing as much as they want and we keep on paying. They don’t mind if the ANC fucks us all over and all our families suffer. Whatever their reasons are, the biggest reason I have heard was, because it’s a case of “better the devil you know than the devil you don’t”.
These people fear the unknown. They fear what will happen when the ANC is gone. Who will take over? They suffer from Stockholm syndrome. I prefer to call it the “Concentration Camp Syndrome”.
See, human beings are funny. Their greatest survival tool, their ability to adapt, can also become their greatest weakness. People can become so used to their miserable conditions that they become comfortable with it. In psychology it is called “Learned helplessness” and Prof Martin Seligman did a lot of experiments with electric shocks on dogs about it. I once wrote an article called: Resistance to resistance - Learned helplessness and the psyche of White South Africans by Mike Smith
This explains why people in North Korea, former East Germany, etc can/could tolerate their horrific conditions for decades without resistance and without trying to escape. However, Martin Seligman also discovered that dogs that were once free could never be subdued and never suffered from learned helplessness and would always try to escape or become free.
Nevertheless, these people who are worried about who will replace the ANC or who will replace the president want to know from me who will take over and what will happen next. I am not a clairvoyant prophet. Frankly…I don’t know.
And there is no need to worry about the problem. It is like Captain Jack Sparrow said in "Pirates of the Caribbean".... "The problem is not the problem; Your attitude to the problem is the problem."
If only they could use all that energy they waste in worrying about who will take over from Zuma and BE the ones who take over from Zuma South Africa will be a better place.
Nevertheless...All I know is what I can see and how I can connect the dots.
Take this poll on TimesLive for instance asking the question. “Who would you prefer as SA’s next president?”
Choice: “Cyril Ramaphosa, Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, Kgalema Motlanthe, other.” I mean what kind of herd mentality allows itself to be manipulated and conditioned by the media into accepting ANOTHER ANC president? Look at it! They are all ANC and they are all BLACK.
I find the poll extremely racist. Why is there no white name there? There are many whites in the ANC (and IFP, DA, ACDP, FFminus) far more competent than any of those useless ANC blacks. Why MUST the next president be black? It is as is if a white person is not even being considered. Why?
Is it because blacks are racists and won’t accept a white person no matter how good he/she is? Shouldn’t we be going for MERIT instead of RACE?
So who will come after the ANC?
In the classical study of revolutions we see that Dr. Crane Brinton mentions in “The Anatomy of Revolution” a certain sequence of events that takes place during a revolution.
The spark is almost always a financial crisis. The governing regime is bankrupt and introduces severe taxes or raises taxes unfairly.
Then, following the initial deposition of the “old regime”, comes the so called “rise of the moderates” followed by the “rise of the radicals”. The “radicals” are also the ones who will bring in the “Reign of terror and virtue”.
The same will happen in South Africa.There is no escaping it.
How far are we?
In South Africa, on Wednesday the 6th of April, we saw that petrol rose by 88c/liter when petrol prices worldwide are on an all time low.
How is this possible?
This is due to a new fuel levy announced by Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan in his budget speech before Parliament on Wednesday, 24 February 2016. The minister announced that the country’s fuel levy would be increased by 30 cents to R2.85 per litre of ULP/LRP fuel and R2.70 per litre of diesel
This means that between 34% and 42% of the petrol price is pure tax.
The ANC knows that if they increase income tax directly, they might spark a revolt, so they do it indirectly through tax on fuel. The result is that transport costs rise and EVERYTHING else rises. Food prices are currently soaring through the roof. Fuel is part of the inset costs of the farmer and part of the transport cost to get the food to the consumer.
In short, the public has just, once again, been fucked over by the ANC and what drives me nuts is that you still have Hensoppers who want to maintain the status quo.
Nevertheless, couple the fuel increase with a weak currency due to an idiotic president and a looming ratings downgrade to junk status and you will have a financial crisis. The spark for the revolution.
Getting the dictator Zuma away is just one step. That will go fairly quickly once the machinery of revolution kicks into high gear.
After him will come the “moderates”. These can be from within the ANC alone or a coalition government of ANC, DA and IFP moderates. However they will not last long. The moderates are always short lived. At most a few months.
Reason for that is that the moderates will have too much to do. They will have to fix everything the dictator stuffed up. They will have to fight corruption and try to please everyone’s expectations. In short they will have way too much to do to simply govern. Therefore they won’t even see their enemies, “the radicals” rising.
In the background is a small, but highly efficient and organized group of “radicals” who do not have to worry about pleasing anybody or governing the country. Their sole focus will be to snatch power from the moderates at the earliest opportunity and when they do, they will ring in the “Reign of Terror” where you will see the mass executions of traitors, collaborators and enemies of the revolution. The streets will flow with blood.
Here comes the interesting part, because everyone is focused on the EFF or the Communists as the possible groups of radicals to take over from the ANC. Even Crane Brinton says the natural movement in a revolution is from right to left.
The Hensoppers are shitting themselves already, because in their minds all they can see are hordes of panga wielding blacks coming to chop them up.
But what if another group of even better organized and more efficient radicals rise? A group nobody expects. A group so radical that they will make the EFF look like kids on a Sunday school picnic. A group willing to do what should have been done 360 years ago.
So this is how I see the rise of the radicals after the ANC:
The South African situation is unique in that there are two groups sitting cocked like wound up springs waiting just for the right moment to usurp power from the moderates.
On the left side you have a highly visible populist group wearing red berets, red T-shirts, red overhauls…and shouting out loud. There is no doubt that they are radical and will take their chance to snatch power from the ANC as soon as the opportunity arises. They might even be the ANC radicals in disguise. Be it as it may, they will be thirsty for blood and will want to cleanse the country of their enemies…the ones they call “settlers”, “imperialists” and “colonists”.
This group I call the “Leftist-majority radicals”.
On the other side, the right side, there is a small group of invisible individuals who hardly know of each other. Hardly radical at all…at the moment at least. In fact one cannot even speak of a group yet, but they exist.
However, this group is not so vocal. They are just quietly making individual plans and setting contingencies in place. Make no mistake; they are as “gatvol” of the ANC as anybody else and as wound up. When the time comes, they will come together with lightning speed, organize and they might just prove ten times more radical than the Left.
In fact if I consider Lanchester’s Laws and if I have to bet any money, I would say THIS group, the “Rightist-minority radicals” will kick leftist butt all the way to the equator when push comes to shove.
Whichever group wants to survive will have to be prepared to be more radical than the other and take the battle to its logical conclusion, because there can be only one. The country will never be big enough for both.